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김천사그램

@k.chun4

3 years ago

Photo by 김천사그램 on April 06, 2024.

Photo by 김천사그램 on April 06, 2024.

Photo by 김천사그램 on April 06, 2024.

Photo by 김천사그램 on April 06, 2024.

Photo by 김천사그램 on April 06, 2024.

Photo by 김천사그램 on April 06, 2024.

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Posted On: April 7th 2024, 05:45 am

더 열심히 할걸🥲
#240407 #제주국제트레일러닝#10k#오운완#운린이#런린이#등린이#제주#일상#제주살이 #다이어터 #김천사그램#김천사

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⁨ البوتيك بي قطع تجنن 🥹🤎✨

عنوانهم المنصور فرع مول بابيلون
‪@noor_shkaa‬⁩
@nd.iq5

🇺🇸 TEXAS/LOUISIANA MIDTERM ELECTION UPDATE - 1 DAY OUT

1 - Talarico leads in two new polls. A new Atlas Intel poll has James Talarico up 6% on Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race. A new Emerson poll has the race closer, but Talarico still winning by 1.4%

Two months ago, @kalshi had Talarico and Paxton dead even. Now Talarico is the heavy favorite. (73% odds) #KalshiPartner

2 - Nate Silver moved the Texas Senate race from Lean D to Likely D. No Democrat has won a Senate race in Texas since 1988.

3 - Talarico was asked if he’s the one who’s going to turn Texas blue. He said no, “I think the best color for Texas is purple.”

4 - Paxton’s 2015 mugshot is making the rounds again. He was booked on securities fraud charges months after becoming Texas attorney general. He later reached a deal that got the charges dropped in exchange for 100 hours of community service, 15 hours of legal ethics training, and around $300,000 in restitution to the alleged victims. He didn’t have to enter a plea, and he had faced the prospect of decades in prison if convicted.

5 - A new Atlas poll has Democrat Gina Hinojosa narrowly leading Gov. Greg Abbott. @kalshi odds still favor Abbott, but her numbers have shot up. No Democrat has won the Texas governor’s race since the legendary Ann Richards in 1990.

6 - A new poll has Louisiana’s Senate race tied between Democrat Jamie Davis and Republican Julia Letlow. It comes from a Democratic pollster, and markets still have Letlow as a big favorite. Early voting has also swung from strongly Republican in 2024 to a Democratic edge this year. History gets made either way: Letlow would be Louisiana’s first Republican woman senator, and Davis would be the first Black senator the state has ever elected.

7 - Kalshi’s Senate forecast drifted toward Democrats all year, then swung hard in September and October. As of October 31, the single most likely outcome in the market was 54 Democratic seats.

So sorry Greg.

thanks October 🤝

Night at the museum with @cfda @donnakaran 🤍

Perfect perfume labels to match the sweetest scents 😍 This 1910s sales sample book of perfume labels from the Henderson Lothographing Company never ceases to amaze! If only I had the budget to get more tattoos 😭 This is part of collection 838 at the Winterthur Library @winterthurmuse 📚
#rarebooks #oldbooks #bookstagram #perfume #vintage