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Posted On: May 10th 2025, 01:19 pm

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For most of Donald Trump’s second term, pundits have assumed that Republicans’ seemingly impregnable Senate map had the edge over Democrats’ lead in national polls.

Now, with election day here, betting markets and other quantitative forecasts all make Democrats clear favourites to flip the upper chamber.

Our prediction model is a substantial outlier. We see the race for the Senate as almost a pure coin toss, giving Democrats a mere 52% chance of gaining control.

The Economist’s forecast does, however, give Democrats a 93% chance of flipping the House, with an average simulated majority of 234 seats to 201 for the Republicans.

What do you think the outcome will be for the two chambers? Tap the link in our bio to explore the data in our prediction model.

Koko aikuisikänsä vankilakierteessä ollut Topias Numminen, 31, vapautui vuosi sitten siviiliin.⁠
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Se on ollut hurja ja vaarallinen vuosi, josta Nummisen pelasti vain vankila.⁠
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Lue juttu profiilin linkistä.⁠
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✏️: Tommi Nieminen / HS⁠
🎥: Sami Kero / HS⁠
🎞️: Heidi Lämsä / HS⁠
⁠
#päihderiippuvuus #rikokset #uutiset #helsinginsanomat

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⚔️ Interesting fact:

Bleach (2004–2012) — Produced by Studio Pierrot and based on Tite Kubo’s manga, this supernatural action series follows Ichigo Kurosaki, a teenager who gains the powers of a Soul Reaper to protect spirits from monstrous Hollows.

The series is famous for showcasing ultimate show-off moments where powerful captains and warriors casually display their overwhelming strength to completely intimidate adversaries.

Tite Kubo’s signature stylish character designs and iconic bankai transformations helped define the golden era of supernatural shonen anime.

Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeated Republican Mike Rogers to claim Michigan’s US Senate seat, delivering a must-win victory for his party and a boost to progressives nationally after one of the most expensive and divisive contests of the 2026 midterms.

El-Sayed, a physician who will become the first Muslim senator, hammered Rogers over high gas prices and the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariffs. A longtime critic of Israel, El-Sayed linked Trump’s war with Iran to rising costs in a bid to win over White working class and rural voters.

His win marks a major victory for progressives, who have sought to demonstrate that more liberal candidates can succeed in the US heartland with a diverse coalition.