12 days ago
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Posted On: October 24th 2026, 03:01 pm
Cuba is leverage. Ukraine is a winter trade. Paris is arithmetic. And all three price off an American election.
Havana’s buses went from 419 a day to 11, and Washington is lobbying the world ahead of the October 28 vote. Russia booked peace talks for November and fired 21 ballistic missiles the same week. Moody’s spared France the downgrade everyone priced — and 70,000 police still deployed Saturday while the Louvre sat shut.
The war, the blockade, and the spread all wait on November 3.
The full loop is on the Substack.
Havana’s buses went from 419 a day to 11, and Washington is lobbying the world ahead of the October 28 vote. Russia booked peace talks for November and fired 21 ballistic missiles the same week. Moody’s spared France the downgrade everyone priced — and 70,000 police still deployed Saturday while the Louvre sat shut.
The war, the blockade, and the spread all wait on November 3.
The full loop is on the Substack.
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