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Baseline Carbon Ltd.

@baselinecarbonltd

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Carbon Management Solutions.
Tracking emissions, rooting for change.

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The Baseline Brief, edition 03. Share your thoughts in the comments.

Africa’s carbon summit is in Kigali this week, with delegates from 24 African countries. The framing has changed. Previous years asked whether African countries could participate. This year it is about transactions, and the word everyone keeps using is trust. Rwanda’s environment regulator said it plainly: full traceability of every issued credit is what brings institutional money in.

At that same summit, Tanzania said six of its carbon projects are now generating credits. The government has 117 registered. The national registry lists nine.
Those three numbers are the state of African carbon markets in one line. Registering is cheap. Producing a credit a buyer will pay for is not.

Meanwhile, the US trade office has opened a review of Europe’s carbon border rules, examining whether they amount to a trade barrier. Comments close 9 November.

And the EU is moving the other way on scope, with proposals to extend CBAM downstream to somewhere between 180 and 457 products from 2028.

Registering is not delivering. Every story this week sits in that gap. by @baselinecarbonltd

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3 days ago

The Baseline Brief, edition 02.

Europe’s carbon border price jumped. On 5 October the Commission set the Q3 certificate price at €82.32 a tonne, up from €75.28 in Q2 and the highest of the year so far. If you quoted a European buyer earlier this year using a €75 assumption, that assumption is now out of date by about 9%.

Ghana has authorised 12.7 million tonnes of credits by mid-2026. That is 53% of the 24 million tonne ceiling Ghana set for Article 6, with 91 projects in the pipeline and five bilateral agreements signed. Worth saying plainly: the ceiling exists to protect Ghana’s own climate targets, and more than half of it is now spoken for.

The Carbon Markets Africa Summit runs 13 to 15 October in Kigali. The programme has shifted from readiness to transactions, which is roughly where the whole continent is right now.

And watch the terms buyers are writing in. Under Singapore’s agreement with Rwanda, 2% of credits are cancelled at issuance and 5% of the value is directed to Rwandan adaptation. Bilateral deals are not just about price.

New edition every week.

#TheBaselineBrief #CBAM #CarbonMarkets #Ghana ExportGhana by @baselinecarbonltd

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11 days ago

baselineglobal.co is live.

Two weeks ago most of you had not heard of carbon accounting. Now you know what it is, what the three scopes are, and why the third one is the one that matters.

The site is where the rest of it lives. What Baseline actually does, what CBAM means if you export into Europe, and why we build for the finance team rather than the sustainability report.

One line sums up the whole thing. Most companies measure what they control and stay silent on the rest. We measure the part everyone skips.

Link in bio.

www.baselineglobal.co by @baselinecarbonltd

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16 days ago

Four things that happened in carbon this month, and what they mean if you export from Africa.

Europe charges €75 a tonne. China charges about $11. China’s price averaged 83.86 yuan from January to August, up 14% on last year, and still roughly a fifth of what the IMF considers structurally meaningful. Carbon is not one global price. Where you sell decides what you pay.

Morocco published a draft carbon markets law on 17 September. Another African country building the legal scaffolding for Article 6 trading.

A global coalition is working on shared MRV standards and interoperable systems, with next steps adopted in Wuhan this month. If the world agrees on how to count, measurement stops being a debate and becomes plumbing.

And closer to home, Access Bank Ghana was authorised as a carbon-credit broker in August. When banks show up, a market is turning into infrastructure.

New edition every week. by @baselinecarbonltd

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25 days ago

What your European buyer will actually ask for.

Not a sustainability report. Not a pledge. Not a credit certificate. Six specific fields, tied to the goods on the shipment.

Installation name and address.
CN code for each product.
Direct emissions per tonne.
Electricity emissions per tonne.
The production route used.
Any carbon price you have already paid.

Notice what these have in common. Every one sits at installation level, per product, per tonne. A company-wide average will not pass. An industry benchmark will not pass. Your buyer needs the number for the specific plant that made the specific goods on the specific shipment.

That level of granularity is why this is hard, and why most exporters are not ready.

If you export into the EU and want the full version of this checklist, send us a DM. by @baselinecarbonltd

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a month ago

Carbon credits are not carbon accounting.

This is the most common mix-up in the market here, and it is an expensive one.

Carbon credits are something you buy. Ghana has built serious infrastructure on this side: a national registry, five bilateral agreements under Article 6, and the first ITMO transfer in Africa completed last year.

Carbon accounting is something you measure. It is the count of what your own operations and supply chain actually emit.

You cannot offset a number you have never measured. And when your European buyer asks for your emissions data, a credit purchase is not an answer. They want the number, and they want it verified.

One is a transaction. The other is a balance sheet.

Which one has your business actually been working on? by @baselinecarbonltd

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a month ago

€75.28 per tonne.

That is the EU’s carbon border price for Q2 2026, published on 6 July. The first quarter came in at €75.36. So the number has been set, twice, and it is holding around €75.

This is the part people in Ghana are still missing. The carbon border tax stopped being a proposal in January. It is a line item now.

Here is how it works. If you export cement, aluminium, iron, steel, fertiliser or hydrogen into Europe, the importer buying from you has to account for the emissions embedded in your goods and pay for them. Certificate purchasing starts February 2027, covering 2026 imports. The first declaration is due 30 September 2027.

Which means the emissions in what you shipped in January are already on someone’s bill.

If you cannot give your buyer verified numbers, they use default values. Defaults assume high emissions, and the penalty for using them rises over time.

Multiply your annual tonnage by €75 and you have a rough idea of what is at stake. by @baselinecarbonltd

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a month ago

Carbon accounting, explained. Swipe ——>

It is a count of the greenhouse gas your business is responsible for, measured in tonnes of CO2 equivalent. Same discipline as your financial accounts, different unit.

It splits into three scopes. What you burn. The power you buy. Everything in your supply chain.

That third one is usually more than 90% of the total, and it is the one almost nobody measures properly. Not because they don’t care, but because the data sits with suppliers who have never been asked for it before.

Your buyers are asking. Your bank is asking. Your regulator is next.

Measure the part everyone skips. by @baselinecarbonltd

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a month ago

10%.

That’s how many companies comprehensively measure and report all three emission scopes, according to BCG’s survey of 1,850 executives.

Scope 3, the emissions sitting in your supply chain, is usually more than 90% of the total. So most published carbon numbers are a small measured piece bolted onto a very large guess.

Ask companies why, and the answer is always the same. Around 70% say they simply cannot get data out of their suppliers.

That is the problem we built Baseline to solve.

Baseline. Numbers that survive an audit. by @baselinecarbonltd

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2 months ago

Carbon accounting is accounting.

It’s the same discipline your finance team already runs. A ledger, a unit, a verified figure and an auditor who checks it.

The only difference here is the unit. Tonnes of CO2 instead of cedis or dollars.

This is why it belongs on your CFO’s desk. The number shows up in your buyer’s cost, your contract terms, and eventually your margin.

But if you can’t audit it, it isn’t accounting. It’s an estimate with good intentions. 🤷🏽‍♂️

Baseline. Numbers that survive an audit. by @baselinecarbonltd

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2 months ago

Your European buyer just asked for your carbon numbers.

If you can’t produce them, they use default values. Default values assume the worst about you.

Ghana runs a relatively clean grid. Exporters here should have an advantage under Europe’s carbon border rules. That advantage only counts if you can prove it.

Your carbon number exists whether or not you measure it. The only question is who calculates it, and whether they have any reason to be generous.

Baseline. Numbers that survive an audit. by @baselinecarbonltd

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2 months ago