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🟠 Counting down the 47th presidency
🗓️ One post a day until the end
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Sunday’s view from Paris. Student protests fill the headlines while the Élysée clock keeps running. Macron’s term is 88.61% complete, Trump’s 43.53%. Neither bar stops for the news. October 18. #TrumpProgressBar #Macron #France #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
182
18 hours ago
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Democrat Wave or the polls are wrong and Republicans hold the line?

Americans vote in 18 days. The Economist’s latest forecasts:

House: Democrats have a 19-in-20 chance of flipping, median outcome D+43 seats.

Senate: Democrats at 3-in-5, median D+4.

The forecasts say one thing. Your vote decides it.

Source: @economist @kalshi 

43.39% complete. October 16. #TrumpProgressBar #Midterms2026 #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
165
3 days ago
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🚨 Russia has invaded Ukraine 🚨 Zelenskyy’s five-year term technically expired in May 2024, now sitting at 147.89% on the clock. Martial law since Russia’s February 2022 invasion has barred elections. Trump is now arguing Ukraine needs a new leader pushing the likelihood up that Zelenskyy leaves this year.

Russia has seized ~20% of Ukraine: Crimea and parts of Donbas (2014), and ~75k km² more since Feb 2022.

Estimated Russian military deaths in Ukraine: 275K–325K, more than every other post-WWII Soviet or Russian conflict combined by multiple orders of magnitude.

🇺🇸 Trump: 43.12%
🇺🇦 Zelenskyy: 147.89%* (martial law, elections barred)

Sources: @CSIS - Ukraine War: Research & Analysis, @kalshi - World leaders out this year?

October 12. #TrumpProgressBar #Ukraine #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
410
8 days ago
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🚨 NEW WHOLE NUMBER ALERT 🚨

Saturday’s 43/100. The bar hits another whole number today, 7 percentage points shy of the halfway line. The dot grid shows it: 43 orange, 7 more to the midpoint, 50 after that to finish.

If the presidency were a single 24-hour day, the clock would read 10:19 AM. If it were a single year, the calendar would read June 7.

43.00% complete. October 10. #TrumpProgressBar #FortyThree #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
145
9 days ago
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“I settled eight wars, and big ones.” Trump is making a last-minute push for the Nobel Peace Prize, citing his claim to have ended eight conflicts and prevented Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. The committee announces in Oslo tomorrow.

The 2025 laureate, Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, gifted him her award during an Oval Office visit.

Does Trump deserve a Nobel Peace Prize?

🏅 Nobel Peace Prize: 99.77% (announced tomorrow)
🇺🇸 Trump: 42.85%

October 8. #TrumpProgressBar #NobelPeacePrize #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
69
11 days ago
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Tuesday’s midterm countdown. The U.S. House election cycle has reached 96% complete, 28 days until Americans vote for the 120th Congress on November 3. One clock almost closed, the other just past 42%.

🇺🇸 Trump: 42.71%
🏛️ House cycle: 96.00% (28 days to vote)

October 6. #TrumpProgressBar #Midterms2026 #PoliticallyNeutral by @trumpprogressbar
117
13 days ago
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South Africa in the frame. Cyril Ramaphosa’s term sits at 45.89% complete, nearing the halfway mark. The U.S.-South Africa relationship has been bumpy since Trump played a video of alleged “white genocide” during their Oval Office meeting earlier this year. Ramaphosa later rebutted it directly, calling the footage misinformation.

🇺🇸 Trump: 42.64%
🇿🇦 Ramaphosa: 45.89%

Two leaders, two different ways to handle the camera.

#TrumpProgressBar #Ramaphosa #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
65
14 days ago
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Sunday’s hour-by-hour. On the second slide: a day in America. What the country is doing each hour of the day. Sleeping, working, housework, eating, sports, and plenty more.

Go follow @thecuriospark for epic infographics.

Do you think Americans work longer today than in the past, or less?

42.57% complete. October 4. #TrumpProgressBar #ADayInAmerica #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
60
15 days ago
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Friday’s reminder. At 80, Trump is the oldest person to ever hold the presidency. Videos like today’s just make the number harder to ignore.

Do you see the president as being in good health?

The bar reads 42.44%.

42.44% complete. October 2. #TrumpProgressBar #OldestPresident #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
186
17 days ago
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“Gaza is the world’s largest graveyard for children,” 

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan declared in a fiery UNGA address, accusing Israel of “state terror” and condemning the devastation in Gaza.

Erdoğan’s (known for arresting political opponents) current presidential term has passed 67% of its timeline. Turkey’s next election is in May 2028, though questions remain around the legitimacy due to imprisonment of prominent opposition figure Ekrem İmamoğlu, who was elected as the CHP’s presidential nominee in the party’s 2025 primary.

Across the ocean, Trump reads 42.09%.

🇹🇷 Erdoğan: 67% (2/3 done)
🇺🇸 Trump: 42.09%

One clock in its final third. One clock still climbing.

Source:
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Speech - @unitednations 
Turkish presidential election winner? - @kalshi

September 27. #TrumpProgressBar #Erdogan #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
106
22 days ago
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🚨 NEW WHOLE NUMBER ALERT 🚨

What’s the meaning of life?

Saturday’s clean 42. The bar just landed on Douglas Adams’ answer to life, the universe, and everything. Another whole number in the count.

42.00% complete. September 26. #TrumpProgressBar #FortyTwo #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
304
23 days ago
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Bye Bye Bibi, Greetings Gadi.

Israeli elections are about one month away but polling suggests it’s over for Netanyahu. Like those who walked out of Netanyahu’s UN speech yesterday, his supporters appear to be walking away too.

Would a Gadi Eisenkot government look better for the world?

Meanwhile Trump used his UN speech to keep up yapping violent rhetoric at Iran. (Concerningly) no / little pushback followed.

🇮🇱 Netanyahu: 97.22%
🇺🇸 Trump: 41.89%
Sources:
Polls: @reuters
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election: @kalshi
#TrumpProgressBar #ByeByeBibi #politicallyneutral by @trumpprogressbar
857
25 days ago
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