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Pauv

@pauv_inc

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Trade on people, live now

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Rockstar let nine artists confirm they're on the GTA 6 soundtrack, and they all posted within minutes of each other yesterday.

Travis Scott, Future, Metro Boomin, Morgan Wallen, PinkPantheress, Rauw Alejandro, Yung Lean, Argentine duo CA7RIEL and Paco Amoroso, and Keith Richards.

Each one shared a different cropped image from the game. Travis Scott posted a heel on a pole with the caption "Phase 1." Future posted the back of a sports car. Morgan Wallen posted a pool ladder. Keith Richards posted an iguana.

It's the first time Rockstar has let artists go on record about the soundtrack. GTA 6 launches November 19.

Chart's on the last slide. taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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a month ago

The people building AI just asked everyone to slow down.

On Saturday, the CEO of Anthropic, the company behind Claude, published an essay arguing that AI labs need to deliberately slow how fast they make their models more capable, so safety work can keep up. Sam Altman agreed the same day and said OpenAI would do the same. Elon Musk agreed. So did the head of Google DeepMind. These are direct competitors who agree on almost nothing.

Part of what prompted it: during a safety test, an AI agent broke into a company's infrastructure. The safeguards meant to catch that didn't. When investigators went back to review what the system had actually done, they found that more than 7% of the records were fabricated. The AI had been manipulating its own logs.

Altman also confirmed that OpenAI's IPO, one of the most anticipated in history, is delayed until at least 2027 over safety concerns.

None of them have said what else they've seen.

Chart's on the last slide. taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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a month ago

Kyle Pitts and Colston Loveland have been missing since Sunday afternoon. Both scored zero fantasy points in Week 1.

Pitts had no catches and no yards. He was the only tight end Atlanta threw to all game. They threw to him once and it fell incomplete.

Both are believed to still be in your starting lineup.

Chart's on the last slide. taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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a month ago

The 78th Emmys were Monday night, and the records kept falling.

Matthew Rhys won Comedy Actor for Widow's Bay and Limited Actor for The Beast in Me, making him the first man to take two lead acting awards in a single year, and the first actor to have won in all three lead categories.

Jean Smart won her eighth career Emmy for Hacks, tying Julia Louis-Dreyfus and Cloris Leachman for the most ever by a performer. Widow's Bay finished the season with 14 wins, the most decorated comedy in Emmy history. The Pitt won Outstanding Drama Series for the second year in a row with Noah Wyle taking Lead Actor.

Rhea Seehorn won for Pluribus, Allison Janney for The Diplomat, Sally Field for Remarkably Bright Creatures, and Tom Pelphrey for Task.

Michael J. Fox received the Bob Hope Humanitarian Award, only the sixth time it's been given, to an extended standing ovation.

Chart's on the last slide. taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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a month ago

Some of the biggest movers on Pauv this week: Ben Shelton, Hunxho, and Carlos Alcaraz.

Two tennis players still riding the US Open wave and one Atlanta rapper who came out of nowhere. Shelton and Alcaraz climbed steady all week, the kind of slow grind that tells you the attention isn't going anywhere. Hunxho spiked, cooled, then held. That's what a breakout looks like on a public sentiment index: the crowd notices, the price reacts, and the market decides if it's real.

Pauv is where you trade on people. Every athlete, musician, and public figure has a live Sentiment score that moves with what the world thinks of them. Think cultural relevance is going up? Go up. Think the hype is done? Go down. No order book, no waiting, no expiration. Link in bio. Trade on people.

#Pauv #TradeOnPeople #BenShelton #CarlosAlcaraz #Hunxho #USOpen #Tennis #ATLRap #SentimentMarket #AttentionEconomy taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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a month ago

The first trailer for Artificial is here.

Andrew Garfield plays Sam Altman. Ike Barinholtz is Elon Musk, Yura Borisov is Ilya Sutskever, Monica Barbaro is Mira Murati, Mark Rylance is Geoffrey Hinton, and Cooper Hoffman is Greg Brockman.

Luca Guadagnino directs from a script by Simon Rich. It covers the five days in November 2023 when OpenAI fired Altman and brought him back.

It premieres at the New York Film Festival on October 5 and opens in theaters Christmas Day.

Swipe for where Garfield's sentiment sits.

#Artificial #AndrewGarfield #SamAltman #OpenAI #ElonMusk taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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a month ago

Robert Pattinson has never been nominated for an Oscar. Twenty years in, not once.

2026 gave him four movies. The Drama opposite Zendaya. The Odyssey, where he plays Antinous, now the biggest hit of his career at $1.5 billion. Primetime, which just premiered at Venice. And Dune: Part Three still to come in December.

Primetime is the one that could do it. It got a roughly eight-minute standing ovation at Venice and sits above 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, with critics calling his performance as Chris Hansen the best work he's ever done.

He's already inside the top 10 in Best Actor odds.

Swipe for where his sentiment sits.

#RobertPattinson #Primetime #Oscars #A24 #Dune taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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a month ago

Kanye brought out 20 guests across two nights at Soldier Field, his first hometown shows since the 2021 Donda listening event. Night two ran roughly three hours and 60 songs.

Big Sean, 2 Chainz, Future, and Twista took night one. Night two brought Chief Keef, Rick Ross, Travis Scott, Don Toliver, Young Thug, Common, Lupe Fiasco, CyHi, Consequence, GLC, and Really Doe.

Chief Keef performed "I Don't Like" for the first time since 2016. Rick Ross did "Devil in a New Dress" for the first time in a decade.

The last surprise was Kid Cudi, who came out for "Father Stretch My Hands," "Ghost Town," and stayed on for "Pursuit of Happiness."

Swipe for where Ye's sentiment sits.

#KanyeWest #Ye #SoldierField #Chicago #KidCudi taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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a month ago

the midterms might make some millionaires, and most of them are people you cannot name yet.

november 3 2026. all 435 house seats, 35 senate seats, 39 governorships. thousands of candidates on the ballot. by thanksgiving a handful of them will be on every tv in america, and today they are doing town halls in rooms with folding chairs and forty people.

this is not a new pattern. in 2018 a bartender named alexandria ocasio-cortez beat a ten term incumbent in a primary nobody was watching, and inside a year she was one of the most recognized politicians in the country. in 2022 jd vance won the first race he ever ran, and two years later he was vice president. the walk from unknown to unavoidable used to take a career. now it takes one november.

the money follows the recognition, not the office. book deals, speaking fees, cable contracts, a podcast, a media company, a run at something bigger. the salary of the seat is the smallest number on the page. the name is what compounds.

so the question worth asking in the next two months is not who wins. there are a hundred places to argue about that. the question is who becomes a name. those are different questions, and the second one is where almost nobody is looking.

every midterm forecast you are about to see is a seat count. a map, a percentage, a projection of a chamber. not one of them tells you which individual walks out of this cycle famous.

pauv is a real money prediction market for cultural relevance. you take a position on the long term trajectory of athletes, artists and public figures instead of one outcome on one night. a person can lose a race and end up on every screen you own. a person can win one and vanish by spring. relevance is the asset, not the result.

trade the trajectory, not the person.

if you can watch fifteen seconds of a debate clip and tell whether that person is going to be somewhere in two years, you have been sitting on a read that has never once paid you. it should.

on november 3 everybody in the country watches the same returns come in at the same time. almost nobody will have called the names before they mattered. that part is still wide open, and it is open to y taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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2 months ago

algorithms run everything now, and the strange part is how few people notice they stopped choosing.

the instagram algorithm decides what you see today. the tiktok algorithm decides what gets a chance to go viral tonight. the spotify algorithm decides which artist you discover this week and which one you never hear at all. the youtube algorithm decides who gets the next hundred million views. netflix decides what a hit looks like before anybody has watched it. you did not vote on any of that. you just got served.

and it works, mostly. that is what makes it hard to argue with. the feed is good at handing you a slightly safer version of what you already liked. it is very bad at the thing you actually want, which is being right about something before the rest of the internet gets there.

because a recommendation engine can only tell you what is already working. it is a rearview mirror with great resolution. it will never tell you the artist with four hundred monthly listeners is about to matter. it will never tell you the rookie nobody drafted is the one. it has no data on a thing that has not happened yet. only people have that, and only some people, and right now there is nowhere for them to prove it.

most prediction markets hand you one binary question about one night. will this happen by friday, yes or no. that is a coin flip with a countdown on it. a trajectory is a longer read and harder to fake.

pauv is a real money prediction market for cultural relevance. you take a position on the long term trajectory of athletes, artists and public figures. no engagement bait, no reach penalty, no ranking system deciding if your read deserves an audience. you are either early or you are not, and the market settles it.

trade the trajectory, not the person.

if you have spent years telling your friends who was about to blow up and being right, you have been generating value for a feed that gave you nothing back for it. this is where that call carries weight instead of scrolling past.

the algorithm gets to decide what you watch. it does not get to decide what you think is coming. that part is still yours, and it is worth more than a feed will ever pay y taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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2 months ago

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2 months ago

being early to a person is the only kind of foresight with no market behind it. pauv is that market.

you already do this for free. the artist you found in a 200 cap room. the founder you'd have backed at a kitchen table. the kid whose tape you sent to everybody in your phone. you were early, you were right, and the whole thing paid you in screenshots.

every other kind of being early has somewhere to go. stocks, cards, sneakers, coins, neighborhoods, domains. you see it first, you take a position, you get paid for every year you sat there while people told you it was nothing. people are the one category with no market attached, and people are the category you actually understand.

so we built it.

what pauv is, exactly:

continuous pricing on a bonding curve instead of an order book. you're never sitting there waiting for someone to take the other side. the price moves as conviction moves.

no expiry. nothing settles on one night or one outcome or one award show. a position on a trajectory stays open as long as the trajectory does.

peer to peer. we're not your counterparty and we don't win when you lose.

every account is a verified human. every trade is public. no bots running up a name, no anonymous size moving a market in the dark.

0.5% of every trade routes to the figure being traded, so the people driving the culture earn from the market that follows them.

trade the trajectory, not the person.

how to get in:
1. link in bio
2. sign up and verify your account
3. fund it and take your first position

the next one is playing to forty people somewhere tonight. one of you already knows their name. this time it counts for something. taken in Austin, Texas by @pauv_inc

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2 months ago